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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Paperback. Pub Date :2008-2-1 Pages: 366 Publisher: Penguin What have the invention of the wheel. Pompeii. the Wall Street Crash. Harry Potter and the internet got in common Why are all forecasters con-artists What can Catherine the Greats lovers tell us about probability And. why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives. from bestsellers to world disasters Their impact is huge; theyre impossible to. predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them A rallying cry to ignore the experts. The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty Contents:.. ProloguePART ONE UMBERTO ECOS ANTILIBRARY. OF HOW WE SEEK VALIDATION Chapter 1 The Apprenticeship of an Empirical Skeptic Chapter 2 Yevgenias Black Swan Chapter 3 The Speculator...

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